Preseason Rankings
TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#291
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.7#311
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#190
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.7% 10.6% 5.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 33.6% 54.6% 27.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.9% 71.7% 53.8%
Conference Champion 7.4% 12.5% 5.9%
Last Place in Conference 5.3% 2.4% 6.1%
First Four3.0% 3.3% 2.9%
First Round5.1% 9.0% 4.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Home) - 23.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 52 - 9
Quad 411 - 913 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 116   Louisiana Tech L 60-68 23%    
  Nov 11, 2019 124   @ Vanderbilt L 58-71 11%    
  Nov 15, 2019 196   Stony Brook L 65-67 43%    
  Nov 16, 2019 153   North Dakota St. L 63-68 33%    
  Nov 17, 2019 230   UT Rio Grande Valley L 67-68 49%    
  Nov 30, 2019 230   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 64-70 29%    
  Dec 03, 2019 121   @ Texas San Antonio L 65-78 12%    
  Dec 15, 2019 61   @ Texas A&M L 57-76 5%    
  Dec 18, 2019 309   @ Nicholls St. L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 21, 2019 284   @ Central Arkansas L 69-72 39%    
  Dec 29, 2019 88   @ Nebraska L 57-73 8%    
  Jan 02, 2020 347   Northwestern St. W 70-60 80%    
  Jan 04, 2020 299   SE Louisiana W 65-61 62%    
  Jan 08, 2020 290   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 11, 2020 286   @ Abilene Christian L 61-64 39%    
  Jan 15, 2020 299   @ SE Louisiana L 62-64 42%    
  Jan 18, 2020 281   Lamar W 68-65 59%    
  Jan 22, 2020 243   New Orleans W 66-65 51%    
  Jan 25, 2020 344   @ Incarnate Word W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 29, 2020 186   @ Sam Houston St. L 61-69 25%    
  Feb 01, 2020 292   @ Houston Baptist L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 05, 2020 316   McNeese St. W 68-63 67%    
  Feb 12, 2020 290   Stephen F. Austin W 67-64 60%    
  Feb 15, 2020 286   Abilene Christian W 64-61 59%    
  Feb 22, 2020 281   @ Lamar L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 26, 2020 243   @ New Orleans L 62-68 32%    
  Feb 29, 2020 344   Incarnate Word W 70-61 79%    
  Mar 04, 2020 186   Sam Houston St. L 64-66 43%    
  Mar 07, 2020 292   Houston Baptist W 77-74 61%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 2.0 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.9 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.5 3.5 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.0 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0 9.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.9 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.6 3.4 0.7 0.1 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.2 4.0 1.0 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.7 4.1 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.6 1.6 0.2 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.7 2.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 6.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.0 12th
13th 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.1 13th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.6 4.3 5.8 7.5 9.0 10.2 10.7 10.3 9.6 8.4 7.0 4.8 3.5 2.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 97.8% 0.3    0.3
18-2 96.9% 1.1    1.0 0.1
17-3 81.8% 1.7    1.3 0.4 0.0
16-4 58.1% 2.0    1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
15-5 30.5% 1.5    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 8.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 4.5 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 66.9% 66.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 54.2% 54.2% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1
18-2 1.1% 40.7% 40.7% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.7
17-3 2.0% 38.7% 38.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.2
16-4 3.5% 31.6% 31.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.4
15-5 4.8% 22.3% 22.3% 15.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 3.7
14-6 7.0% 16.3% 16.3% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 5.8
13-7 8.4% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.8 7.6
12-8 9.6% 6.5% 6.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 8.9
11-9 10.3% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 0.3 10.0
10-10 10.7% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 10.6
9-11 10.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.2
8-12 9.0% 9.0
7-13 7.5% 7.5
6-14 5.8% 5.8
5-15 4.3% 4.3
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.6% 1.6
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 4.5 93.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%